Posts Tagged ‘ncaa basketball’

March Madness Probabilities – NIT Tournament

Apr
3

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Wichita State is a slight favorite in March Madness prospects against Alabama in Thursday night’s NIT Tournament competition at Madison Square Garden in New York. The Shockers are arriving from a major win on Tuesday as they beaten Washington State in March Madness gambling whereas Alabama just got past Colorado.



Alabama (25-11)
The Crimson Tide probably should have been in the NCAA Competition but they are sure making the almost all of the NIT. They took advantage of the NIT wanting them in the title competition as they won 3 competitions at home and then the Crimson Tide made it to beat Colorado 62-61. It is worth noting that Alabama didn’t cover the spread in that competition as they were 2.5 point favorites. The Crimson Tide is led by JaMychal Green and Tony Mitchell plus they are also gaining formidable play recently from Trevor Releford.

Wichita State (28-8)
The Shockers were really extraordinary on Tuesday as they completely dismantled Washington State, winning 75-44. That win without a doubt satisfied the odds makers as Wichita State is preferred against Alabama in the NIT Tournament. The Shockers are really deep as they have 10 participants who can score. Wichita State is playing suffocating defense in the competition and that is generally Alabama’s calling card. The Shockers aren’t random chance squad as they lost to Connecticut and Virginia Commonwealth this season by a combined 5 points. They’re not destined to be in awe of playing Alabama in the title competition. Wichita State appears to be a squad on a roll plus they are destined to be tough to beat on Thursday evening.

Match Total
The total on this game in March Madness prospects is posted at 129.5 at the sports book and it is really hard to see how the odds makers came up with this number. Alabama and Wichita State are great defensive squads so unless this game goes into ot you have to feel it will likely be won by a squad that finishes in the small 60′s. It would take each squad gaining into the mid 60′s for this game to go over and according to the figures that doesn’t seem most likely. Alabama was seventh in the country on defense this season permitting less than 60 points per competition and Wichita State wasn’t far behind as they allowed just under 62 points per game


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NCAA March Madness Betting – Wildcats against Huskies

Apr
3

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March Madness wagering devotees will have their choice of a Cinderella Competition along with a match between two proved powers with the March Madness prospects.



March Madness wagering anticipation is high for the competition of the Kentucky Wildcats and Connecticut Huskies as they are programs that have a history of success with the March Madness prospects.

Dependent Stadium in Houston, TX will sponsor the Final Four on Saturday with the competition of Kentucky and UConn being the nightcap of the doubleheader. UConn and Kentucky are scheduled to tipoff at 8:50 PM ET with a telecast on CBS.

The sportsbook opened with Kentucky as a 2 point favorite with a total of 141. The money line opened with Kentucky as a -135 favorite and with UConn as a +115 dog.

Kentucky goes in this March Madness betting competition with a record of 29-8 straight up and 16-15-1 vs the spread. The Wildcats have paid out in 5 of their past 6 matches while rising over the total only once in their previous 9 matchups.

UConn goes in this bet on March Madness competition with a record of 30-9 straight up and 21-12 vs the spread and has paid out in 8 of their previous 9 matches to rate as one of the top teams on the board.

UConn will include one of the uncommon stars in college basketball today with Kemba Walker, who’s averaging 23.9 points per game. The Huskies started their run with 5 consecutive victories and covers in as several days in the Big East Competition.

Kentucky has paid out in 7 of their previous 8 non-conference matches and has paid out in 8 of their previous ten matchups in the NCAA Competition as a favorite. The Wildcats have paid out in 16 of their last 21 matches vs the Big East Conference.

UConn has paid out in 9 of their previous ten matchups in non league action and has paid out in 7 of their previous 9 matchups in the NCAA Competition. The Huskies are threatening 23-8 vs the spread as an long shot and have grabbed the cash in 19 of their past twenty six neutral website matches.

Kentucky has gone over the total in only 1 of their last 5 matches as a NCAA Competition favorite while UConn has gone over the March Madness wagering total in 9 of their last 13 Big Dance matchups.


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In spite of Loss Earlier in Season, Kentucky Wildcats Expected to Beat UConn Huskies

Apr
3

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The huge competition on Saturday in NCAA action is between the No. 4 Kentucky Wildcats and the No. 3 UConn Huskies. Both coaches are Final 4 vets, with UConn head coach Jim Calhoun making his fourth appearance, while Kentucky’s John Calipari’s team has made it for the third time. A lot of the center will be on Huskies superstar player Kemba Walker.



But UConn is not the favorite to win on Saturday. Sports books post the Wildcats as the 2.5 point favorites, with the total established at 140. The Wildcats have had a more difficult road to Houston, overcoming Princeton, West Virginia, Ohio State, and North Carolina. Their most surprising win was over the Buckeyes, as almost everyone expected Ohio State to make it to the Final 4 at least, if not win the tournament outright.

UConn had a somewhat simpler trip to the Final 4, winning over Bucknell, Cincinnati, San Diego State, and Arizona. Whereas Kemba Walker has been having a fantastic postseason since the conference tournament, UConn relies on a number of competitors to back up the superstar. The Huskies have been in the Final 4 three times before this year, winning the tournament title in 2 of those appearances.

This is the Wildcats’ 1st time making it back to the Final 4 since 1998. It is Kentucky’s fourteenth in total appearance in the Final 4, plus they are bringing a notably balanced team this year. However, the Wildcats were defeated earlier this year by UConn. Walker landed 29 points on the Wildcats as the Huskies got the win in Maui all the way back in November.

Kentucky’s competitors, though, have grown into their individual roles since that early season loss, and are now considered the favorites to win. Their latest wins over the Buckeyes and North Carolina Tar Heels contribute a lot to that view.


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NCAA March Madness Wagering – Wildcats -2.5 vs Huskies

Apr
3

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Get ready for a number of Big East action in March Madness gambling.The Wildcats are 2.5 point favorites in March Madness gambling as the encounter the Connecticut Huskies in Saturday’s Final 4. The game will be the late match on CBS following the first match between VCU and Butler. The total on the match in March Madness lines at the online sportsbook is showed at 140.



Excellent Coaching Matchup
It is genuinely a Hall of Fame coaching game on Saturday evening as Kentucky is directed by John Calipari while Connecticut is coached by Jim Calhoun. Both have been in the Final 4 before but Calhoun has the championships while Calipari doesn’t. Calhoun won in 1999 and in 2004 and Calipari should have won in 2008.

Kemba Walker versus. DeAndre Liggins
This match may boil down to Walker versus. Liggins. All through the competition it’s been Walker carrying the Huskies. That could show to be more difficult vs Liggins. Walker has been the best player in the NCAA Championship but this game vs Liggins is not going to be simple.

Wildcard Competitors
The Huskies have needed freshman Jeremy Lamb as Walker has slowed down a bit bit in the past couple of contests. Liggins can’t guard both Walker and Lamb so it could be up to Lamb if Connecticut is to have an opportunity. On the other hand it may very well be Josh Harrelson who has another big match. He has been dominating inside in the past couple of contests and Kentucky could have the edge in the middle.

Competition Notes
The Wildcats are 3-0-1 vs the spread in their last 4 Saturday contests. The Wildcats are 7-1 ATS in their past eight non-conference contests. The Wildcats are 5-1 ATS in their past 6 contests in total. The Wildcats are 16-5-1 ATS in their last 22 versus. the Big East. The Huskies are 9-1 ATS in their past ten non-conference contests. The Huskies are 7-2 vs the ncaa hoops lines in their past 9 NCAA Championship contests. The Huskies are 23-8 ATS in their last 31 contests as an long shot. Thinking about the total for Saturday night’s match, the Under is 4-0-1 in the Wildcats last five in total. The Under is 4-1 in the Huskies last five in total. The Over is 9-4 in the Huskies previous thirteen NCAA Championship contests.


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March Madness Wagering – Final Four Prospects Preview

Apr
3

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The Final Four is set in the NCAA Competition and March Madness betting probabilities are on the board at the sports book. The 1st competition on Saturday has Virginia Commonwealth facing Butler while the late competition has Kentucky battling Connecticut. Here is a look at the March Madness probabilities on both contests and the probabilities to win it all.




VCU against Butler
This is the Cinderella competition in the Final Four despite the fact that it is tough to call Butler a Cinderella any longer. They achieved the championship competition last season and close to defeat Duke and they may very well be headed there again this time. They’re 2.5 point favorites vs VCU in March Madness probabilities and the total on the competition is 133.5. VCU is a number eleven seed while Butler is an eight seed making this match the highest combined competition of seeds in Final Four history. Butler would manage to have the advantage due to the fact of their experience but VCU has been amazing with five straight wins in the championship by an average of 12 points per competition. Bear in mind that VCU has to play in the “First Four” competition so they’ve got competed five championship contests while everyone else has competed 4. Butler has been winning tight contests in the NCAA Competition while VCU has been winning comparatively easily. This is certainly a final Four competition that no one forecasted.

Connecticut against. Kentucky
The marquee competition in the Final Four is the late competition on CBS on Saturday as Connecticut battles Kentucky. Despite being a 4 seed while Connecticut is a 3 seed, Kentucky is the favorite. The Wildcats are 2-point favorites with a total of 140. Connecticut has Kemba Walker and Jeremy Lamb but Kentucky is most likely deeper as they’ve got over just two participants who can score. This is furthermore a competition between two high profile coaches as Connecticut is led by Jim Calhoun while Kentucky is coached by John Calipari.

Probabilities to Win the Championship
Kentucky 6-5
Connecticut 2-1
Butler 3-1
Virginia Commonwealth 4-1

Kentucky is the in total favorite of the Final Four teams to win the title while Connecticut is the 2nd pick. Whichever squad wins between Kentucky and Connecticut will be the favorite in Monday’s title competition in March Madness betting.


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NCAA March Madness Wagering – Rams the Largest Longshot

Apr
2

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Virginia Commonwealth was a major underdog to win in March Madness wagering before the NCAA Tournament began and they are still a underdog in the Final 4.



The Rams were component of the field in most March Madness probabilities before the tournament began even though some sports books did have them listed at major lines. Almost nobody anticipated VCU to make the Final 4.

Underdog Rams
VCU was anywhere from a 200-1 underdog as component of the field at plenty of sports books to a 10,000-1 underdog at one Las Vegas sports book. The Rams are still longshots in the Final 4 in March Madness probabilities even though not by much. Kentucky is the favorite to win the national title with Connecticut the second choice trailed by Butler and VCU. The Rams are not a huge underdog now though with lines of 4-1. The Rams are actually the largest underdog to ever make the Final 4 since the championship expanded in 1986. The Rams are the 3rd #11 seed to make the Final 4 however they are by far the largest underdog. The other two #11 seeds to make the Final 4 were LSU in 1986 and George Mason in 2006 but both of those squads got more respect than VCU has gotten. In reality, LSU was competing at home and favored in their first game back in 1986. George Mason was an underdog in 2006 but never a double-digit underdog.

How They Got Here
Virginia Commonwealth was a quality, but not great squad in the course of the regular year. They actually ended 4th in the Colonial Athletic Association. The CAA was a quality conference with George Mason and Old Dominion top the way. The Rams got an at-large bid to the NCAA Tournament considering they didn’t win the conference championship. Very couple of individuals thought they were going to get a tournament bid including their head coach and competitors who weren’t even observing the NCAA Tournament selection show. The Rams had to play in the “First Four” game and they routed USC. VCU then defeat Georgetown easily, routed Purdue, got past Florida State in overtime and then owned Kansas.

VCU is a 2.5 point underdog in March Madness wagering at the sports book as they battle against Butler in the first Final 4 game on Saturday.


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March Madness Wagering – Final Four Picks

Apr
2

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The Final Four is Saturday with Butler preferred over VCU in March Madness betting in the first game while Kentucky is preferred against Connecticut at the sportsbook in the late game.Which 2 teams are going to be competing in March Madness odds on Monday? Let’s pick the 2 competitions.



Butler minus the Points
Virginia Commonwealth is a great story and the greatest long shot story ever in the NCAA Tournament. It ends on Saturday. The Rams have taken edge of being an long shot and they have shot the ball incredibly well to get this far. It will not be as easy against the Bulldogs. Butler was in the championship game last year and they are not going to ignore the Rams as Kansas did. Butler has the knowledge and in a setting like the Final Four that’ll be essential. The Bulldogs also know how to win the near competitions. Butler has won 13 straight overall and are 9-3-1 against the spread in those contests. VCU is on a great run but it is worth noting that they were a losing team vs. the spread during the normal year.

Kentucky minus the Points
The Wildcats are laying points in this game even though they are the 4th seed while Connecticut is the 3rd seed. Connecticut also defeat Kentucky earlier this year. The oddsmakers are trying to tell us something by favoring Kentucky. The Wildcats have had the far more difficult road to get into the Final Four as they had to defeat Ohio State and North Carolina. The Huskies are a great story with Kemba Walker but their fortune has run out. Connecticut will find it tough to score against a Kentucky defense that is allowing just 62 points per game in the tournament. Walker has had his way in the last couple of weeks but he will be challenged by Kentucky’s length on Saturday night. Arizona had 2 chances at the end to defeat Connecticut but their shots would not drop. Kentucky will make their shots and get the job accomplished on Saturday night.

The point spreads are so minor on Saturday night that if the favorites win they ought to also cover and we will go with Butler and Kentucky to do just that and meet in Monday’s championship game.


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NCAA March Madness Gambling – Final 4 Sneak Peek

Apr
2

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Saturday’s Final 4 in March Madness gambling has a headline contest between Connecticut and Kentucky and a contest of underdogs as VCU takes on Butler. Let’s check out both contests and the March Madness probabilities at the sportsbook.



VCU against Butler – 6:10 pm Eastern – CBS
The Bulldogs are 2.5 point favorites with the total listed at 133.5. Virginia Commonwealth is the Cinderella story as they weren’t even anticipated to make the NCAA Competition. They had to play in the “First Four” match and handily handled USC. The Rams then took out Georgetown, Purdue, Florida State and #1 Kansas to arrive at the Final 4. Butler has been the cardiac kids of the championship with last 2nd victories over Old Dominion, Pittsburgh, Wisconsin and Florida. The Bulldogs are the most seasoned team of the outstanding 4 squads.

Connecticut against Kentucky – 8:50 pm Eastern – CBS
This is the headline contest of the 2 Final 4 contests and the Wildcats are 2-point favorites in March Madness probabilities with the total being 140. Connecticut is the third seed whilst Kentucky is a 4 seed. This contest almost never takes place in the Final 4. In fact, it has just occurred once in history since the championship expanded and that was in 1990. The three seed that season was Duke and they defeated Arkansas. This contest on Saturday features the young talent of Kentucky vs Kemba Walker and the Huskies. Kentucky has had the tougher road to the Final 4 as they had to get by Princeton, West Virginia, top seed Ohio State and then 2nd seed North Carolina. Connecticut has had a simpler road with victories over Bucknell, Cincinnati, San Diego State and Arizona. Kentucky head coach John Calipari is foremost his third team to the Final 4 as he took Massachusetts back in 1996 and Memphis in 2008.

Unlikely Final 4
Practically nobody in March Madness gambling predicted that these 4 squads would make the Final 4. ESPN had almost 6 million people enter their championship match and just 2 got the Final 4 correct. Neither has a perfect bracket but that is next to out of the question. You would have thought that choosing this Final 4 would have been next to out of the question but with 6 million brackets and just 2 people that did it those are prospects of 3 million to 1. This is the first Final 4 in championship history where there is not at least one #1 or #2 seed. It’s furthermore the highest combined seed total in tourney history.


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Let’s Check Out Kentucky Wildcat Offense

Apr
2

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Based on Synergy Sports Technologies, a company that analyzes teams for various sources, the most efficient offensive unit leftover in the NCAA Tournament are the Wildcats. Any buff who has been following the competition can tell you that the Wildcat offense is led by 2 extraordinary players, Brandon Knight and Terrence Jones. Jones and Knight are 2 of the top in college basketball and both will undoubtedly make it to the subsequent level.



Jones and Knight take the most shots on the Kentucky team and they’re the 2 highest scorers with regards to points per competition.

Nevertheless, these 2 are far from the only 2 options that coach Calipari has on the offensive end; In reality, the opposite is correct. It could be stated that the three other key contributors are more worthwhile than Knight and Jones. Doron Lamb, Darius Miller, and Josh Harrellson play key roles in this teams leading offensive efficiency rating. While they may not be as productive with regards to points per competition as the other 2, these three are much more efficient scorers, and they’re able to be depended on to hit big shots when the other 2 are being amped on or double teamed.

This reality makes the Wildcats so tricky to defend considering Jones and Knight are much to good to be handled one-on-one by most defenders in college basketball, thus making a really efficient match-up zone among the only means to effectively handle them. Connecticut is a man-to-man team, and that’s why this fight will probably be so intriguing. It’ll be intriguing to see the adjustments Calhoun makes to take away the things that hew thinks are imperative.

For the Cats, the answer now isn’t something distinct but in the same vein. This is undeniably not the time to be changing things up offensively, or trying to offer one player more of a part than yet another. The Cats are top when they react to the competition at hand and employ a team concept. When they do this, they’re out of the question to stop.


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March Madness Wagering – Oregon Liked in CBI Finale

Apr
2

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Before we get to the Final 4 in March Madness wagering there’s one more game to play and that’s the finale of the CBI Competition on Friday night. This tournament had a best-of-three format and predictably, Creighton and Oregon each won easily at home. Oregon gets the advantage of having the third game on their home court and they are preferred in March Madness lines.



Oregon -4.5, total 140
The CBI has not gotten much interest but at least on Friday night there could be a few folks who give it a look. The tournament series has had some interest as Oregon head coach Dana Altman has been going up his former squad in Creighton. The first game at Creighton didn’t go well for Altman and the Ducks as they were beaten 84-76. Oregon came back at home on Wednesday though and won 71-58 to force Friday’s finale. Altman deserves some credit for Wednesday’s win as Oregon switched to a man-to-man defense and it was the difference. Joevan Catron directed the Ducks with 18 points whereas Malcolm Armstead obtained 14. Altman had 327 victories with Creighton and directed them to the NCAA Competition a total of 7 times in 16 years. He left last April for Oregon as they offered him more cash. He was replaced by Greg McDermott who had coached at Iowa State. This series to date has been all about the home court edge and that could be the case again on Friday night even though this game could be closer. It ought to furthermore be mentioned that in Wednesday’s game, Doug McDermott who is the team’s top scorer got into early foul trouble and was never a factor.

This is the fourth year for the CBI Competition and it can be a good stepping stone as last season’s champ VCU is in this season’s NCAA Final 4.

Match Notes
The Blue jays are 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 non-conference competitions. The Blue jays are 10-4 ATS in their past fourteen competitions as a road underdog. The
Blue jays are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 Friday competitions. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 competitions as a favorite. The Ducks are 4-1 ATS in their previous 5 home competitions. The Under is 4-0 in the Blue jays last 4 road competitions. The Over is 7-2 in the Ducks past 9 home competitions. The Over is 9-4 in the Ducks previous 13 total.


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